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Challenging Global Food Economics: Rice
The Philippines-based International Rice Research Institute describes the world’s rice shortages as a function of consuming more than we are producing — drawing down stocks built up by farmers nearly a generation ago to augment current consumption. The institute reports that population growth, increases in caloric intake in emerging economies such as China and India, and urbanization of farmland all contribute to the problem.

For nations less affected by skyrocketing rice prices and shortages, there is merit in being aware of the unusual measures food-insecure nations are adopting. After two decades of economic globalization, the rice crisis has precipitated a food-security awareness that is taking on a “national” character.
Oman, an oil-rich Middle East nation of 3.3 million, is stockpiling rice. The Gulf Daily News recently reported that Oman was securing 200,000 tons of rice, enough to feed the population for two years. The action was augmented by the government — which increased state salaries by as much as 43% and boosted state pensions by 5% to 35% — to help offset dramatic food inflation.

In the Philippines, president Gloria Arroyo has implemented a moratorium on commercial property development, such as shopping malls and golf courses, that would encroach on farmland. As the world’s largest rice importer, the government is desperately trying to narrow the nation’s dependence on imported food, and has earmarked $1 billion to boost production of rice and other foods.

The Los Angeles Times
recently reported that Arroyo went so far as to suggest that roadside stands and restaurants cut in half the size of their rice portions as a way to reduce demand. Philippine rice prices, once 65 cents a kilo (2.2 lbs.), are now more than 90 cents a kilo. Government rice supports are making rice available to the poor at 37 cents a kilo. China, the world’s most populous nation, has moved to block an emerging black market that sends rice out of the country without state approval.

Trying to stay ahead of the “rice game,” Indonesia is expanding its domestic rice acreage. One of the world’s largest rice consumers, Indonesia has taken pro-active steps to ward off domestic fears and food inflation. In nations with limited agricultural resources that must import rice, civil unrest is growing.

Vietnam, the world’s second-largest rice exporter, will limit rice exports this coming crop season by 22% amid spiraling domestic food costs and to contain domestic fears of a shortage. The Christian Science Monitor has reported that India, the world’s thirdlargest supplier, also has limited rice exports to contain food supply fears and domestic food infl ation. Cambodia, another major rice exporter, has followed suit.

Thailand is the world’s largest rice exporter. So far, that nation is not limiting exports, but has taken advantage of skyrocketing rice prices to bring in badly needed cash. Thai prime minister Samak Sundaravej recently asked his citizens to eat less rice, so that more would be available to meet export demands while prices are high. Thailand has also considered joining a move to create the Organization of Rice Exporting Countries. This proposed “rice cartel” has prompted strong criticism from Thai citizens and rice importers worldwide.
Dramatic increases in fertilizer and energy costs have placed rice farmers at tremendous risk. A collapse of rice prices, to levels of just a year ago, could send the “wrong” signal to rice growers at a time when the world needs to build up rice stocks. Stunned and looking for answers, millions of people are wondering why “free” markets sent a signal to raise more rice only after an additional 100 million (U.N. estimates) were placed at risk of starvation as critical stocks collapsed.

If the rice crisis does nothing more than raise awareness of the fragility of global food production, and the lack of dependability of fi nancial mechanisms to distribute that food, it will have served as a significant milestone on our path to discovering a more food-secure world.
Benjamin Gisin writes and lectures extensively on the promise of local food systems, agricultural sustainability and food security. For more information, visit Touch the Soil magazine: www.touchthesoil.com.

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